State Navigate released a new poll on redistricting and Gov. Abigail Spanberger’s approval rating Wednesday morning.
The “Vote Yes” campaign is leading by 5 points according to the poll. Yes accounts for 50.7% and No accounts for 45.4%. The special election for voters to either approve the change to the congressional maps or deny it is on April 21.
Democrats are overwhelmingly backing the measure, with 92% saying they have voted or plan to vote yes and 5% opposed. Republicans are similarly unified in opposition, with 95% voting no and 2% supporting it, according to the poll.
Among true independents — those who do not lean toward either party — 56% say they are voting no, while 32% say they are voting yes.
Among likely voters, 47% approve of Spanberger’s job performance, while 47% disapprove. Intensity skews more negative: 41% strongly disapprove, compared with 31% who strongly approve. Another 11% somewhat approve, and 4% somewhat disapprove.
Read the full breakdown from State Navigate here.
This survey was fielded from April 10-13, 2026, among 707 registered likely special election voters in Virginia. Respondents were chosen from a voter file provided by i360. The margin of error is 3.7% for a 95% confidence interval. The survey was designed and conducted by State Navigate. This survey was not sponsored by any party, candidate, or candidate’s committee.
Complete toplines can be found here, and selected crosstabs can be found here.
Also, watch my interview with State Navigate’s Executive Director Chaz Nuttycombe below: